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12 I Port of Everett—South Terminal Wharf&Electrical Upgrades—Phase 2 <br /> The results of our analysis indicate that liquefaction-induced settlement will be greatest at the north end <br /> of the South Terminal,where up to 16 inches of settlement may occur in the native silty sand. <br /> Furthermore,settlement in the dredged fill of up to 7 inches is estimated,which may cause significant <br /> differential settlement of the wharf between the upland area(which is underlain by the fill)and the pile- <br /> supported area west of the top of the construction dike. <br /> Tsunami Hazard <br /> The tsunami hazard within Puget Sound is controlled by crustal faults.According to the Everett tsunami <br /> hazard map prepared by the Washington State Department of Natural Resources(2014) (Attachment 2),a <br /> tsunami originating from a magnitude-6.7 Seattle Fault earthquake would likely cause widespread <br /> inundation ranging from 0 to 2 feet across the project site. For a magnitude-7.3 Seattle Fault event, <br /> inundation estimates range from 0 to 6 feet across the project site. Because of the relatively long return <br /> periods of these Seattle Fault events,the tsunami hazard during the design life of the structure is low. <br /> Other potential tsunami sources in the area,such as the southern Whidbey Island fault zone,are currently <br /> not characterized well enough to create specific scenario models(WSDNR). <br /> GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING CONCLUSIONS AND <br /> RECOMMENDATIONS <br /> The following sections provide our conclusions and recommendations pertaining to the geotechnical <br /> aspects of the project. <br /> Slope Stability <br /> The slope stability of the site was analyzed using limit-equilibrium methods and numerical modelling <br /> methods to evaluate the stability of the proposed under-wharf slope and wharf system under static, <br /> pseudostatic,and post-earthquake liquefied conditions. Numerical modelling using the program FLAC was <br /> performed to assess the dynamic behavior of the slope and wharf under various seismic hazard levels. <br /> For each loading scenario,two design cases were considered: <br /> 1. Current slope geometry and pile layout <br /> 2. Current slope geometry and pile layout with proposed additional structural piles <br /> In our analysis, lengths of existing piles were estimated using the historical pile driving records from the <br /> original Weyerhaeuser Mill as-built drawings(1978)and Shannon&Wilson(2015). If no records were <br /> available for a given section, plan pile depths were used.Additionally,we received plans dated <br /> March 22,2017 with bathymetry data from KPFF,and developed the stability model geometries to reflect <br /> the bathymetry surveys. <br /> Slope stability of the site was modeled for the two cross sections A-A'and D-D'with the geometry shown <br /> in Figures 3 and 6,respectively,to capture the variability in the presence of soils with high liquefaction <br /> potential (ESU 5 and ESU 6).Appendix F describes the procedures used in the slope stability analyses in <br /> greater detail. <br /> 19232-01 <br /> rI <br /> December 6,2017 CRO <br />