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Community Transit — Merrill Creek Facility <br />Renovation — Transportation Analysis <br />heffron <br />transportation inc <br />building employee trips), the rate is lower-0.102 trips per employee. This is expected since few of the <br />MCOB employees make trips during the PM peak hours due to the function of the transit base. <br />2.3. Future Without -Project Conditions <br />The proposed project and staff re -assignments are planned to be complete by 2025; however, the City of <br />Everett typically requires traffic analyses to evaluate a horizon year that is no earlier than six years from <br />the date of the completed project application.' Since project applications are expected to be submitted <br />in 2021, year 2027 was selected as the horizon year. <br />Forecast 2027 without -project traffic volume forecasts were developed in several steps. First, <br />background through traffic on Hardeson Road was increased by 12% to reflect normalized (non - <br />pandemic) conditions based on the historical count comparisons presented previously. Then, a <br />background traffic growth rate was applied. Based on review of historical PM peak hour traffic counts <br />performed by the City of Everett at the Hardeson Road / Merrill Creek Parkway intersection (in <br />September 2011 and October 2018), the volumes on Hardeson Road grew by about 0.5% per year over <br />seven years. Therefore, a 0.5% compound annual growth rate was applied to the normalized through <br />volumes on Hardeson Road to reflect year 2027 without -project conditions. Finally, the estimated <br />combined CT Merrill Creek site traffic presented in Table 2 was added to reflect future conditions <br />without the project, but with site traffic returning to the baseline condition. The forecast 2027-without- <br />project PM peak hour traffic volumes are shown on Figure 6. <br />2.4. Traffic Operations <br />Traffic operations analyses were performed for the three study -area intersections. Traffic operations are <br />evaluated using level of service (LOS) with six letter designations, "A" through "F." LOS A is the best <br />and represents good traffic operations with little or no delay to motorists. LOS F is the worst and <br />indicates poor traffic operations with long delays. More information about the level of service <br />definitions and thresholds are provided in Attachment A. <br />As outlined the City's Comprehensive Plan- Transportation Element,8 the LOS standards adopted by <br />the City of Everett are LOS D in general, and LOS E/F, if approved by the City Engineer. Levels of <br />service for the study area intersections were determined using procedures in the Highway Capacity <br />Manual 0 Edition.9 All level of service calculations were performed using the Synchro 10.3 traffic <br />operations analysis software using the HCM 6 reporting module for unsignalized intersections. Table 3 <br />summarizes existing and forecast 2027 PM peak hour levels of service without the proposed project. <br />As shown, the three intersections currently operate at LOS A overall and all movements operate at LOS C <br />or better. With the assumed increases in background traffic, some increases in delay are expected, but all <br />three locations are forecast to remain operating at LOS A overall with all movements at LOS C or better. <br />The analyses indicate a slight decline in total overall average delay at the northern driveway intersection, <br />which can occur when volumes increase on non -critical movements that have little or no delay, thus <br />reducing the overall average delay. <br />City of Everett Municipal Code, § 18.40.070.B. <br />City of Everett, pg. 22, Updated July 2019. <br />9 HCM 6" Edition, Transportation Research Board (TRB), 2016. <br />December 9, 2020 1 11 <br />