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APPENDIX B <br /> The District contracted with a consultant, Les Kendrick, to develop enrollment projections for the <br /> District's planning needs. Kendrick's report, "Mukilteo Enrollment Trends and Projections" was <br /> completed in November 1999. <br /> The following points are taken directly from the report: <br /> • Enrollment is in a slowing period due to smaller birth cohorts and slightly slower growth in <br /> the elementary school-age population. (p. 2) <br /> • For the next 1-2 years, Mukilteo may experience very little growth in enrollment or even <br /> declines, with enrollment beginning to increase more rapidly in the 2002 school year. (p. 2) <br /> • Figures from OFM indicate that the 5-19 age group (the one most closely approximating <br /> school-age) will grow by an average of 6 tenths of a percentage point annually between now <br /> and 2005. This is lower than previous years. (p. 56) <br /> • Mukilteo's share of the county's permits increased from 10.4% in 1997 to 18.1% in 1998. <br /> This jump could help this District recapture some of the "new resident" market share that may <br /> have been lost to other districts in the last few years. (p. 58) <br /> B-1 00/05/04 <br />