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FINANCIAL <br />ANALYSIS <br />Introduction <br />This financial analysis represents the <br />fourth component of the four-part feasibility <br />study. The purpose of this analysis is to project <br />the level of financial support which will be <br />required to develop and operate the facility, <br />based on market analysis projections, projected <br />cost analyses, and research on available funding <br />sources. <br />At the outset of this analysis, it should <br />be recognized that the public sector typically <br />plays the pivotal role in the financing of <br />spectator sports facilities across the country. <br />Even when there are significant private sector <br />funds available, local governments contribute <br />resources to such projects through tax abatement, <br />infrastructure development, and other <br />investments. Public entities make these <br />investments for the sake of the direct and <br />induced economic impacts expected from the <br />project and for the intangible benefits such as the <br />enhancement of residents' quality of life and the <br />promotion of community identity. In addition, <br />the economics of professional sports have <br />evolved such that public funding is necessary for <br />the new development of sports facilities to be <br />possible at all. <br />While, this analysis assumes that the <br />City of Everett will play a significant role in the <br />finance, development and ownership of the <br />proposed facility, it should be noted that a State <br />of Washington "Sales Tax Rebate" is available to <br />county and local governments to support the <br />development of public assembly facilities in the <br />state. This ` tax rebate" allows that up to three <br />one -hundredths of one percent of the Gross Sales <br />Tax Revenues from a locality be transferred back <br />to that locality for the development of public <br />• <br />assembly facilities. This analysis assumes that <br />the City and other local partners (i.e., Snohomish <br />County and the City of Marysville) shall employ <br />this "tax rebate" as an additional source of <br />revenue for the development and operation of the <br />proposed facility. <br />To understand thoroughly the financial <br />implications of developing an indoor arena in <br />Everett, the consulting team developed a <br />comprehensive integrated financial model to <br />analyze the project's feasibility. Exhibit 11 of <br />this report contains the hard copy print-out of the <br />financial model. Due to the volatility of the <br />industry and circumstances outside the authors' <br />control, projected results may vary significantly <br />from the actual project's performance. <br />Therefore, B&D cannot ensure that the results <br />highlighted in this report will portray the actual <br />performance of the arena; however, to identify <br />the range of risk is inherent in the proposed <br />project, the model allows for the testing of <br />multiple performance scenarios to test the project <br />concept under a variety of economic conditions. <br />Executive Summary <br />The basic findings of the analysis are as follows: <br />• The estimated cost for the proposed arena <br />facility is approximately $41 million, <br />including $36.8 million in hard costs of <br />construction, and $4 2 million in soft costs. <br />These figures will vary depending on the <br />type of financing implemented, land <br />acquisition costs, actual facility design <br />characteristics, and conditions in the <br />construction market at the time of bidding. <br />These costs figures do not include off -site <br />infrastructure improvements these cost <br />figures include interest costs based on tax- <br />exempt debt. <br />• Based on the "moderate" event calendar <br />projected in the market analysis, and given <br />standard and reasonable lease terms with the <br />Brailsford & Dunlavey/Ellerbe Becket <br />Page 35 <br />