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Shallow crustal faults with ;mown or suspected Quaternary displacements within the general project <br />area include the Southern Whidbey Island Fault. The Southern Whidbey Island Fault is a <br />inorthwest -southeast trending structure located near Whidbey Island and extending as far southeast as <br />Everett. Recent evidence suggests that the Southern Whidbey Island Fault is an active fault system with <br />Quaternary displacements. This fault system is considered capable of magnitude 7 earthquakes and is <br />located approximately 15 km from the site. <br />3.6.3 Interface Earthquakes <br />Interface earthquakes occur on the boundary between the Juan de Fuca and North American tectonic <br />plates. The Cascadia Subduction Zone extends from Vancouver Island to Northern California. Interface <br />c:*thquakes on the Cascadia Subduction Zone are anticipated to have durations ranging up to 4 minutes. <br />Evidence of the occurrence of large (magnitude 8 to 9+) earthquakes occurring on the Cascadia <br />Subduction Zone has recently been discovered. The last large interface earthquake is believed to have <br />occurred in the year 1700. It is estimated that the recurrence interval for interface earthquakes on the <br />Cascadia Subduction Zone is about 400 to 600 years; however, the interval between earthquakes appears <br />irregular. <br />3.6.4 Intraplate Earthquakes <br />Cascadia Subduction Zone intraplate earthquakes occur within the subducting Juan de Fuca Plate <br />at depths of 30 to 40 miles within the Puget Sound area. Intraplate earthquakes are expected to <br />have durations ranging up to 30 seconds and magnitudes ranging up to 7.5. The Olympia 1949 <br />(magnitude 7.1), the Seattle 1965 (magnitude 6.5), and the Nisqually 2001 (magnitude 6.8) were <br />intraplate earthquakes. Other earthquakes that are considered to be intraplate events occurred in 1882, <br />1909 and 1939. <br />3.6.5 Liquefaction Potential <br />Liquefaction refers to the condition where vibration or shaking of the ground, usually from <br />I earthquake forces, results in the development of excess pore pressures in saturated soils with subsequent <br />loss of strength in the deposit of soil so affected. In general, soils that are susceptible to liquefaction <br />include very loose to medium dense, clean to silty sands that are situated below the water table. <br />1 The evaluation of liquefaction potential is a complex procedure and is dependent on numerous site <br />parameters, including soil grain size, soil density, site geometry, static stresses, and the design ground <br />acceleration. Typically, the liquefaction potential of a site is evaluated by comparing the cyclic shear <br />stress ratio (the ratio of the cyclic shear stress to the initial effective overburden stress) induced by an <br />earthquake to the cyclic shear stress ratio required to cause liquefaction. We evaluated the <br />earthquake -induced cyclic shear stress ratio at this site using an empirical relationship developed by <br />researchers for this purpose. A design earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 and a peak horizontal <br />acceleration of 0.27g (27 percent of the acceleration due to gravity) was used for our analysis. This <br />analysis also assumes a level ground surface. <br />The cyclic shear stress ratio required to cause liquefaction was estimated using an empirical <br />procedure based on correlations from the cone penetration tests. This method relates the cyclic shear <br />IZ <br />G e o E n g i n e e r s 7 File No. 10625.OGI.O 123003 <br />