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CHAPTER 3 <br />Development Capacity within Downtown Plan <br />Area <br />Based upon conservative estimates for redevelopment potential within the <br />Downtown Plan area, the projected demand described above can be <br />accommodated within the Downtown Plan area. The estimates are based on an <br />analysis of sites that have a reasonable potential to redevelop by 2025, using <br />modest assumptions about floor area ratio for office, retail, and residential use. <br />The analysis did not include properties that are unlikely to be redeveloped within <br />the planning period. The estimate for housing capacity is for the larger area <br />initially considered for the Downtown Plan. The estimates for retail and office <br />capacity are for the commercial core area. It should be noted that these figures <br />are estimates of capacity and not a projection of actual redevelopment to occur. <br />The estimated capacities are for each type of use. The assumptions for each <br />category of land use would not exclude the potential to achieve the estimated <br />capacity for either of the other land use categories. For example, land required <br />for retail use in this analysis will not reduce the capacity for either office or <br />residential uses. This analysis resulted in the estimates of capacity listed in <br />Table 1 below. <br />Table 1, Development Demand and Capacity in Downtown <br />Use 20 -Year Demand Capacity <br />Residential 1,900 dwelling units 3,230 dwelling units <br />Retail 375,000 square feet 640,000 square feet <br />Office 800,000 square feet 1,260,000 square feet <br />Table 1 indicates that downtown's capacity is well in excess of demand for <br />residential, retail, and office development. It is assumed that hotel demand can <br />easily be accommodated by the commercial capacity for retail and office uses. <br />The B-3 zoning for the commercial core will allow all three of these uses. <br />22 MAKERS architecture and urban design <br />0509_rpt_draft.doc - 6/29/06 <br />