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Table 7: Alternative FTE Projections 2012-2017
<br /> FTE Projections 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ' 2017 Total
<br /> Total Change Change
<br /> 1 Based on County Pop. 13,917 14,153 14,394 14,639 14,888 15,11I 15,338 1,421 10.21%
<br /> 2 Based on District Pop. 13,917 14,174 14,431 14,688 14,944 15,201 15,458 1,541 11.08%
<br /> 3 Cohort Survival 5yr 13,917 14,058 14,336 14,536 14,760 14,904 15,052 1,135 8.16%
<br /> 4 District Medium 13,917 14,073 14,232 14,306 14,414 14,659 14,762 845 6.07%
<br /> 5 District High 13,917 14,233 14,614 14,904 15,197 15.393 15,607 1,690 12.14%
<br /> 1.Assumes enrollment is a constant percent of the county population
<br /> 2.Assumes enrollment is a constant percent of the District population
<br /> 3.Cohort Survival Forecast
<br /> 4.Based on projected births,cohort averages and projected population/housing growth
<br /> 5.Based on projected births,cohort averages and projected population/housing growth;higher growth
<br /> Enrollment Projections to 2020 and 2025
<br /> Student enrollment projections beyond 6 years are somewhat speculative since economic or
<br /> demographic trends could change. A long range forecast for the District was produced by the
<br /> consultant demographer based on general assumptions about continued growth in
<br /> housing/population and births. The"District Medium" forecast was used in estimating capacity
<br /> needs because of its consistency with the County estimates based upon population projections. The
<br /> District's headcount enrollment is projected to be 15,527 by 2020 and 16,304 by 2025. The FTE
<br /> enrollment is projected to be 14,812 in 2020 and 15,526 by 2025.
<br /> Table 8-Projected FTE Student Enrollment(2020 and 2025)*
<br /> Level Project 2020 Project 2025
<br /> Elementary(K-5) 6,646 7,170
<br /> Middle(6-8) 3,591 3,657
<br /> High(9-12) 4,575 4,699
<br /> Total 14,812 15,526
<br /> *May not add to exact totals due to rounding.
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