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Table 7-Projected Student Enrollment(2010-2015)
<br /> FTE 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total %
<br /> Projections Total Change Change
<br /> 1 Based on 13,581 13,999 14,232 14,469 14,711 14,956 15,166 1,585 11.67%
<br /> County
<br /> Pop.
<br /> 2 Based on 13,581 13,832 14,083 14,334 14,585 14,835 15,086 1,505 11.08%
<br /> District -
<br /> Pop.
<br /> 3 Cohort 13,581 13,565 13,663 13,810 14,037 14,244 14,535 954 7.02%
<br /> Survival
<br /> 5yr Avg.
<br /> 4 District 13,581 13,522 13,537 13,618 13,799 13,956 14,205 624 4.59%
<br /> Medium
<br /> 5 District 13,581 13,612 13,713 13,851 14,088 14,295 14,595 1,014 7.47%
<br /> High
<br /> 1.Assumes enrollment is a constant percent of the county population.
<br /> 2.Assumes enrollment is a constant percent of the District population.
<br /> 3.Cohort Survival
<br /> Forecast
<br /> 4.Based on projected births,cohort averages,new housing trends and
<br /> regional information.
<br /> 5.Based on projected births,cohort averages,new housing information,and regional trends;
<br /> higher growth assumed.
<br /> Enrollment Projections to 2020 and 2025
<br /> Student enrollment projections beyond 6 years are somewhat speculative since economic or
<br /> demographic trends could change.A long range forecast for the District was produced by the
<br /> consultant demographer based on general assumptions about continued growth in
<br /> housing/population and births. The"District Medium"forecast was used in estimating capacity
<br /> needs because of its consistency with the County estimates based upon population projections.
<br /> The District's headcount enrollment is projected to be 15,924 by 2020 and 16,569 by 2025. The
<br /> FTE enrollment is projected to be 15,207 by 2020 and 15,834 by 2025. This FTE enrollment
<br /> estimate is broken down by level as follows:
<br /> Table 8-Projected FTE Student Enrollment(2020 and 2025)*
<br /> Level Project 2020 Project 2025
<br /> Elementary(K-5) 7,017 7,213
<br /> Middle (6-8) 3,789 3,843
<br /> High(9-12) 4,402 4,779
<br /> Total 15,207 15,834
<br /> *May not add to exact totals due to rounding.
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